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Modelling for Policy

Innovating in the application of computational social science to tackle major socioeconomic challenges and support the capacity building of governments and other actors in the public-sphere around the world.

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Introduction

We develop methods and applications in computational social science to tackle some of the most challenging problems that societies face in the 21st century. We work closely with governments and international organisations to transform our research into policymaking tools. We develop these tools to support the capacity building of organisations in the public sphere, in both the Global North and South.

 

 

Projects

multi-coloured pixel background

Policy priority inference

Developing computational and network methods to advise governments on the policy priorities needed to reach socioeconomic development goals

Crossrail tunnel

Managing uncertainty in government modelling

Developing practical methods and tools for managing uncertainty in government modelling

Congress building

Vote trading networks

Building network science and data science methods to uncover hidden cooperation in democratic institutions

Skyscrapers obscured by clouds

Detecting Fringe Behaviour in Companies' Networks

Unearthing the patterns in company structures that are designed to disguise root ownership

Offices seen through many windows

Labour Flow Networks from the Bottom-Up

Analysing movements in the labour market to explore the future of work

Boat on dried lake

Climate Security Index

Measuring and monitoring climate security vulnerability.

Apartment block

Housing Market Dynamics

Developing tools and models to exploit newly available property, economic and demographic datasets.

Office workers

Skill Sorting, Complementarities, and Productivity

Developing granular models explaining the movement of individuals within the labour market.

Interlinking cogs

Skill Interaction and Complexity

Exploring how workplace skills interact and evolve through the labour market.

Conceptual image of rising blocks - possibly circuitry, possibly a bar graph

Quantifying Technological Sophistication

Providing policymakers with insights for industrial investment

Freight containers

International Trade Modelling

Using models to give policymakers insights into the potential outcomes of new trade agreements.

A doctor putting a wrist brace on a patient's hand

Tackling Health Inequalities

Creating a framework to assess the impact of financial interventions on health and socio-economic indicators.

Old fashioned newspaper typesetting

Government & Media Behaviour

Disentangling how the media influences policymaking, and how policymakers influence the media

Cogs

Endogenous production networks

Developing tools to support evidence-based policy making when perfect knowledge of production functions is unavailable.

Account book

Automatic SDG Alignment and Budget Tagging

Employing Natural Language Processing techniques to support policy makers in their budgetary procedures.

Publications

Publication

Automatic SDG Budget Tagging: Building Public Financial Management Capacity through Natural Language Processing

The “budgeting for SDGs” (B4SDGs) paradigm seeks to coordinate the budgeting process of the fiscal cycle with the Sustainable Development...

Automatic SDG Budget Tagging: Building Public Financial Management Capacity through Natural Language Processing

Publication

Quantifying the Technological Foundations of Economic Complexity

The problem of inferring the technological structure of production processes and, hence, quantifying technological sophistication, remains largely unsolved; at least...

Quantifying the Technological Foundations of Economic Complexity

Publication

Decentralized markets and the emergence of housing wealth inequality

Recent studies suggest that the traditional determinants of housing wealth are insufficient to explain its current inequality levels. Thus, they...

Decentralized markets and the emergence of housing wealth inequality

Publication

How Do Governments Determine Policy Priorities? Studying Development Strategies Through Spillover Networks

Determining policy priorities is a challenging task for any government because there may be, for example, a multiplicity of objectives...

How Do Governments Determine Policy Priorities? Studying Development Strategies Through Spillover Networks

Publication

The Resilience of Public Policies in Economic Development

This paper studies the resilience of public policies that governments design for catalyzing economic development. This property depends on the...

The Resilience of Public Policies in Economic Development

Publication

The Importance of Social and Government Learning in Ex Ante Policy Evaluation

We provide two methodological insights on ex ante policy evaluation for macro models of economic development. First, we show that...

The Importance of Social and Government Learning in Ex Ante Policy Evaluation

Publication

Quantifying the Coherence of Development Policy Priorities

Over the last 30 years, the concept of policy coherence for development has received especial attention among academics, practitioners and...

Quantifying the Coherence of Development Policy Priorities

Publication

Does Better Governance Guarantee Less Corruption?

Evidence of Loss in Effectiveness of the Rule of Law

Does Better Governance Guarantee Less Corruption?

Publication

Uncovering Vote Trading through Networks and Computation

We develop a new methodological framework for the empirical study of legislative vote trading. Building on the concept of reciprocity...

Uncovering Vote Trading through Networks and Computation

Publication

Decentralized markets and the emergence of housing wealth inequality

Recent studies suggest that the traditional determinants of housing wealth are insufficient to explain its current inequality levels. Thus, they...

Decentralized markets and the emergence of housing wealth inequality

Publication

A Method for Emerging Empirical Age Structures in Agent-Based Models with Exogenous Survival Probabilities

For many applications of agent-based models (ABMs), an agent's age influences important decisions (e.g. their contribution to/withdrawal from pension funds...

A Method for Emerging Empirical Age Structures in Agent-Based Models with Exogenous Survival Probabilities

Researchers

picture of: oman guerrero

Dr Omar A Guerrero

Head of Computational Social Science Research
Alejandro Beltran

Dr Alejandro Beltran

Research Associate
Kathyrn Fair

Dr Kathyrn R. Fair

Research Associate
Daniele Guariso

Dr Daniele Guariso

Senior Research Associate
Zachary Kessler

Dr Zachary Kessler

Postdoctoral Research Associate
Tuong

Dr Tuong M Vu

Research Associate

Project management and support

Eirini Koutsouroupa - The Alan Turing Institute

Eirini Koutsouroupa

Programme Manager, Turing Research and Innovation Cluster in Digital Twins (TRIC-DT)

© The Alan Turing Institute 2025. All rights reserved.

The Alan Turing Institute, a charity incorporated and registered in England and Wales with company number 09512457 and charity number 1162533 whose registered office is at British Library, 96 Euston Road, London, England, NW1 2DB, United Kingdom.

Explore the Institute

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    Events from around the Turing Network
  • News
    • News
    • Podcasts
    • Data science and AI glossary
    • Learn, Explore and Participate
    • Blog
    • Publications & policy submissions
    A collage of impact story headers

    Impact

    The Turing works with a range of partners with far-reaching, real-world impact across sectors

    Impact
    Alan Turing

    The Turing Alphabet

    Introducing the Turing Alphabet: demonstrating the breadth of the Institute.

    The Turing Alphabet
  • About us
    • Our strategy
    • Impact
    • Frequently asked questions
    • Governance
    • Equality, diversity and inclusion
    • What Alan Turing means to us
    Annual Report Cover image

    Annual Report 2023-24

    Read about our highlights of the year

    Annual Report 2023-24
  • Research

    Grand challenges

    • Defence and national security
    • Environment and sustainability
    • Transformation of health
    • Divider
    • Fundamental research
    • Projects

    Programmes

    Artificial intelligence
    Data-centric engineering
    Data science for science and humanities
    Defence and security
    Finance and economics
    Health and medical sciences
    Public policy
    Research Engineering
    Tools, practices and systems
    Urban analytics
    Abstract curved lights

    Research projects

    Turing Research and Innovation Cluster in Digital Twins

    Turing Research and Innovation Cluster in Digital Twins
    View of the world with the sun on the horizon

    Research projects

    FastNet

    Developing artificial intelligence algorithms to fundamentally transform UK weather forecasting

    FastNet
  • Skills

    Skills

    • Find placement and networking opportunities
    • Learn and apply skills
    • Work with us on skills
    The Turing Online Learning Platform - Free courses, from The Alan Turing Institute

    Section page

    Courses

    Free and open learning resources on data science and AI topics.

    Courses
    Presentation for DSG

    A week in the life of a Data Study Group

    Watch the three part mini documentary series

    A week in the life of a Data Study Group
  • People
    • Spotlights
    • Researchers
    • Doctoral Students
    • Former Researchers
    • Business Team
    • Governance
    • Fellows
    Premdeep Gill

    Research spotlight

    Premdeep Gill

    Enrichment student Premdeep Gill is studying Antarctic seals and their sea ice habitats through satellite data, to better understand how they are coping with climate change

    Premdeep Gill
    Erin Young

    Research spotlight

    Erin Young

    As co-lead of the Turing’s Women in Data Science and AI project, Research Fellow Erin Young’s vital research maps the gendered career trajectories in data science and AI

    Erin Young
  • Opportunities
    • Jobs
    • Why work at the Turing?
    • Research and funding calls
    • Engage with the Turing as a researcher
    people in discussion

    Why work at the Turing?

    Find out some of the reasons why the Turing is a competitive employer

    Why work at the Turing?
    The Turing Online Learning Platform - Free courses, from The Alan Turing Institute

    Section page

    Courses

    Free and open learning resources on data science and AI topics.

    Courses
  • Partner with us
    • Industry
    • Government bodies
    • Turing University Network
    • Current partnerships and collaborations
    • Data Study Groups
    • International
    DSG participants round a table

    Data Study Groups

    Events bringing together some of the country’s top talent from data science, artificial intelligence, and wider fields, to analyse real-world data science challenges

    Data Study Groups
    abstract image with pattern

    Partnering with the Turing

    We work with a wide range of partners to help deliver our mission of changing the world using data science and artificial intelligence

    Partnering with the Turing
  • Contact us
    • Contact form
    • Press office
    • Our brand
    • How to get to the Turing
    • Join our mailing lists
    Yellow loudspeaker

    Join the Turing's mailing lists

    Get the latest on data science and AI at the Turing with Turing News or Turing Events, keep in the loop with CETaS, or discover Skills at the Turing.

    Join the Turing's mailing lists
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    Find out more about the expert commentary the Turing can provide

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